Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) by 2029?
AGI might be coming earlier than you think and the workers are already getting FOBO.
Hi folks, in this week’s newsletter, I'll be exploring the topic of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), which, until recently, was considered to be the stuff of science fiction.
AGI. Three innocent letters, but they represent a concept shrouded in mystery. What exactly is Artificial General Intelligence, and do we really understand its full implications?
In this post, I’ll unravel the growing hype around AGI, from bold predictions of superhuman AI emerging in the next decade to debates on whether progress will be sudden or staggered. What breakthroughs in AI model design might unlock this exponential growth, and what dangerous ‘evil twin’ capabilities could they unleash?
I'll decode the cryptic "GPTs are GPTs" research paper and discuss how today’s AI models could transform economies by unlocking vast troves of unstructured data.
Join me as we explore the great potential and uncertainties surrounding AGI. I'll highlight experts' warnings about existential risks and jobs lost to automation. But could AI also offer solutions to humanity's biggest challenges?
The finish line is hazy, but the AGI race has clearly begun. As AI companies charge ahead, society must grapple with critical questions. Will we steer this powerful technology toward benefitting the many, or will the clamour for progress silence the calls for prudence?
Let’s dive in and find out!
AGI (WTF?)
AGI, I know, yet another tech TLA (Three-Letter-Acronym).
AGI, or Artificial General Intelligence, however, might just be the one TLA to rule them all.
(As an aside, I’m assuming you know what the other TLA in that sentence means ;)
But, AGI is poorly defined, even by AI experts.
The best OpenAI can do is,
“AI systems that are generally smarter than humans”
Meh!
IMHO (couldn’t resist using a FLA here), GPT-4 is generally smarter than a lot of humans I know already, and I’m pretty sure GPT-4 isn’t AGI.
And it gets worse.
No one actually has a test or knows how to measure if or when our AI systems have reached AGI.
Not that that has stopped workers already being worried by the advances in AI.
Fortune Magazine recently ran an article quoting research from a Gallup poll, which found that,
“Nearly one-quarter of U.S. workers (22%) are worried that rapidly advancing technology will soon render their job obsolete …”
And they are already struggling with their own new acronym, “FOBO”, or Fear Of Being Obsolete.
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